Business & Finance Finance

Market Timing The Dollar, Pound And The Bond Market Looming Crash!

All signs points towards US Dollar already down one third against major currencies since 2002. Analysts are of the opinion that US Dollar is headed towards a precipitous and historic crash. What this means for traders is that US Dollar is strongly bearish with a long clear and unmistakable down trend.

Even Warren Buffet is on record with the comment that frentic spending and money creation will trigger a currency destroying inflation that would be much severe than that happened in 1970s. Inflation is for sure going to plague the economy for many years. In such inflationary times, it is investors try to take refuge in gold.

There is a danger that the US Treasury Bonds will sharply fall in value driving the long term interest rates high and delaying the US economic recovery with it. The long term interest rates are still low. So, if this does happen, there will be come time lag before the medium and long term interest rates start rising.

The causes of the US Bond marker collapse is the ballooning of the US Budget Deficit. Huge bailout of the private sector and big banks by the FED is also putting a lot of pressure on the bond market. So if you are in long term bonds markets, it's time to get out.

In the same vein, pressure is mounting on the British Pound (GBP) as the British economy is still struggling hard to come out of recession. GBP is steadily losing value against other major currencies. GBP did show a retracement sometimes back when the British government tried hard to stimulate the economy. But this retracement was short lived.

So you can well imagine what this means for the traders. They should be ready for a downtrend in both USD and GBP that might last for a long time. As a market timer, you need to keep an eye on the different markets with an intention of riding a long term trend that might be in the making at the right time.

If you can ride the USD and GBP long term down trend at the righ time, you can make a lot of profit. In the same way as market timer if you ride the downtrend in USD, it would be a good idea to ride the uptrend in the gold market as both these positions hedge against each other. Market timing is the trading strategy that will make many traders rich in 21st century. Learn the art of market timing!
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